One Blue World: August 2024

A New Global Seasonal Classification System (Nature):

WorldSeasons: a seasonal classification system interpolating biome classifications within the year for better temporal aggregation in climate science

Global Ag & Timber Lands (Nature):

Climate change will exacerbate land conflict between agriculture & timber production

Arctic Compound Day-Night Heatwaves (Weather & Climate Extremes):

Mechanism for compound daytime-nighttime heatwaves in the Barents–Kara Sea during the boreal autumn & their relationship with sea ice variability

E. Africa > Rainfall (RMetS):

Beyond the regional average: Drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains

Australia > Coastal Storm Erosion (Coastal Engineering):

Data-driven modelling of coastal storm erosion for real-time forecasting at a wave-dominated embayed beach

New Book (Cambridge U Press):

Climate Change & Youth Mental Health: Multidisciplinary Perspectives

Scaling Up CO2 Storage (Nature):

The feasibility of reaching gigatonne scale CO2 storage by mid-century

Europe > Rewilding Opportunities (Current Biology):

Expanding European protected areas through rewilding

Arctic Ocean, Coastal Erosion & CO2 Uptake (Nature Addendum):

Addendum: Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion

Original Study: Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion

Canada > Wildfire Emissions (Nature):

Carbon emissions from the 2023 Canadian wildfires

Global Overfished Stocks (Science):

Stock assessment models overstate sustainability of the world’s fisheries

Nepal > High-Altitude Rock-Ice Avalanches (Nature):

An earthquake-triggered avalanche in Nepal in 2015 was exacerbated by climate variability & snowfall anomalies

AMOC & Labrador Current (Nature):

Role of the Labrador Current in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation response to greenhouse warming

Arctic Glacier Dynamics (Cryosphere):

Arctic glacier snowline altitudes rise 150 m over the last 4 decades

The Anthropocene (Nature Commentary):

The meaning of the Anthropocene: why it matters even without a formal geological definition

China & US > Conspiracy Theories & Understanding (J of Enviro Psych):

Hotter weather, less of a hoax? Testing the longitudinal association between experience of temperature anomalies & belief in climate change conspiracy theories

Effective Messaging On Consensus (Nature):

A 27-country test of communicating the scientific consensus on climate change

Canada > Forest Assisted Migration (Frontiers):

Assisted migration outcomes for oak species & seed sources in southern Ontario, Canada

Our Hot 2023 (Nature):

2023 temperatures reflect steady global warming & internal sea surface temperature variability

AMOC's Lower Limb (Nature):

Formation of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation lower limb is critically dependent on Atlantic-Arctic mixing

Light Rain Impacts On Humid Heat (Nature):

Light rain exacerbates extreme humid heat

Urban Coastal Adaptation Worldwide (Nature):

Progress & gaps in climate change adaptation in coastal cities across the globe

Tropical Cyclones (Nature):

Translation speed slowdown & poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones

N. American Extreme Weather (Nature):

The driving of North American climate extremes by North Pacific stationary-transient wave interference

Extreme Event Attribution (Science):

Machine learning–based extreme event attribution

Antarctica > Non-Native Species (Global Change Biology):

Floating debris & organisms can raft to Antarctic coasts from all major Southern Hemisphere landmasses

Global Drought Dynamics (BioScience):

Drought as an emergent driver of ecological transformation in the twenty-first century

Johan Rockström TED Talk (July 2024):

The Tipping Points of Climate Change & Where We Stand (18:35 Min)

US > Wildfire & Vulnerable Communities (ERL):

Socially vulnerable US Pacific Northwest communities are more likely to experience wildfires

Europe Temp-Related Mortality (Lancet):

Children’s Eco-Anxiety (Nature Commentary):

Exploring children’s despair in the face of climate change

Effective Emission Reduction Policies (Science):

Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades

Annual Global Assessment:

BAMS State of the Climate Report (download 498 pg)

W. Antarctic Ice Sheet Stability (Science):

The West Antarctic Ice Sheet may not be vulnerable to marine ice cliff instability during the 21st century

Related Science "Focus" Article: Antarctica’s ice cliff conundrum

Transforming Science Classrooms (Science Ed):

Critical climate awareness as a science education outcome

Europe > Weather Extremes (Nature):

Co-occurrence of marine & atmospheric heatwaves with drought conditions & fire activity in the Mediterranean region

US > Sea Level Rise & Coastal Dunes (Nature):

Permanent loss of barrier island resilience due to a critical transition in dune ecosystems

China > Heat Waves & Aerosols (Nature):

Aerosol effects during heat waves in summer 2022 & responses to emission change over China

Global Drought Awareness (Nature):

Disparity between global drought hazard & awareness

Finland > Endangered Seals (Climatic Change):

Modelling climate change impacts on lake ice & snow demonstrates breeding habitat decline of the endangered Saimaa ringed seal

Nation Level Risk Mgmt (Lancet News):

Planetary Health & Disaster Risk Reduction: the Sendai Framework at its Midpoint

Amphibious Housing (Nature Commentary):

Can floating homes make coastal communities resilient to climate risks?

Canada > Extreme Wildfire (Nature):

Drivers & Impacts of the Record-Breaking 2023 Wildfire Season in Canada

Antarctica > Glacial Retreat & Benthic Megafauna (Nature):

Shifts in benthic megafauna communities after glacial retreat in an Antarctic fjord

Tipping Point Early Warnings (ESD):

Tipping point detection & early warnings in climate, ecological, & human systems

Global Atmospheric Water Demand (Nature):

Drastic increase in the magnitude of very rare summer-mean vapor pressure deficit extremes

Global Diets & Food Supply (Nature):

Dissecting the vital role of dietary changes in food security assessment under climate change

Global Shipping Emissions (GRL):

Has Reducing Ship Emissions Brought Forward Global Warming?

Amazon Forest & Indigenous Peoples (Climatic Change):

Climate justice, forests, & Indigenous Peoples: toward an alternative to REDD + for the Amazon

Global Hydrological Responses To Deforestation (Science):

Deforestation-induced runoff changes dominated by forest-climate feedbacks

Atlantic Ocean Temps (GRL):

Pivotal Role of Mixed-Layer Depth in Tropical Atlantic Multidecadal Variability

IPCC Population Projections (Nature):

Underestimating demographic uncertainties in the synthesis process of the IPCC

New Book (Oxford U Press):

The Language of Climate Politics: Fossil Fuel Propaganda & How to Fight It

Tropical Pacific Ocean Dynamics (Science):

Coral Sr/Ca-SST reconstruction from Fiji extending to ~1370 CE reveals insights into the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

S. Ocean > Marine Biodiversity (Conservation Biology):

Scaling up ocean conservation through recognition of key biodiversity areas in the Southern Ocean from multispecies tracking data

Ethiopia > Farmers’ Resilience (Climate Services):

Smallholder farmers’ coping strategies to climate change & variability: Evidence from Ethiopia

Germany > Urban Adaptation (Climate Services):

Integration of climate information into urban climate change adaptation: A case study of municipal processes in Constance

California > Migrant Farmworkers & Wildfire Smoke (GeoHealth):

Air Quality Monitoring & the Safety of Farmworkers in Wildfire Mandatory Evacuation Zones

Responding To Drought (Climate Services Review):

Responding to climate services in the context of drought: A systematic review

Ag Diversification In Low-Income Countries (Climate Services Review):

Diversification of agriculture practices as a response to climate change impacts among farmers in low-income countries: A systematic literature review

Australia > Heat & Mental Health (BJM Mental Health):

Suicide deaths associated with climate change-induced heat anomalies in Australia: a time series regression analysis

China > Transboundary Air Pollution (Sci. Total Environ.):

Detectability of the potential climate change effect on transboundary air pollution pathways in the downwind area of China

Improving Sea Level Projections (Earth's Future):

Challenges, Advances & Opportunities in Regional Sea Level Projections: The Role of Ocean-Shelf Dynamics

Hawai'i > Alternative Energy (Applied Energy):

Oahu as a case study for island electricity systems relying on wind & solar generation instead of imported petroleum fuels

Alaska > Permafrost Mercury (ERL):

Mercury stocks in discontinuous permafrost & their mobilization by river migration in the Yukon River Basin

Antarctic Ice Sheet Historical Behavior (Nature):

Geologically constrained 2-million-year-long simulations of Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat & expansion through the Pliocene

China > Emission Reduction (Nature):

The carbon emission reduction effect of China’s national high-tech industrial development zones

Global Mitigation Scenarios (Nature):

Feasibility of peak temperature targets in light of institutional constraints

S. Africa > Youth Heat Stress (Biometeorology):

Exploring the risk of heat stress in high school pre-season sports training, Johannesburg, South Africa

Africa > Deforestation (Nature):

Deforestation amplifies climate change effects on warming & cloud level rise in African montane forests

Global Precipitation (GRL):

Precipitation Over a Wide Range of Climates Simulated With Comprehensive GCMs

Mojave Desert > Plant Biodiversity (Ecology Ltrs):

Reconstructing 120 years of climate change impacts on Joshua tree flowering

India > Groundwater Depletion (Earth's Future):

Summer Monsoon Drying Accelerates India's Groundwater Depletion Under Climate Change

New Zealand > Marine Heatwave Impacts (Global Change Biology):

Marine heatwave-driven mass mortality & microbial community reorganisation in an ecologically important temperate sponge

Mitigation Via Surf Conservation (Conservation Science & Practice):

Co-occurrence of surf breaks & carbon-dense ecosystems suggests opportunities for coastal conservation

Global Dietary Emissions (Nature):

Reducing climate change impacts from the global food system through diet shifts

Rate of Warming, Ken Caldeira, et al. (ERL Viewpoint):

Rate of global warming projected to decline under current policy

Global Water Quality (ERL):

Blind spots in global water quality monitoring

US > Most Effective Terminology (Climatic Change):

Should we change the term we use for “climate change”? Evidence from a national US terminology experiment

Arctic Ocean, Coastal Erosion & CO2 Uptake (Nature):

Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion

England > Forests & Mitigation (Nature):

Enhanced woody biomass production in a mature temperate forest under elevated CO2

N Wadden Sea > Sea Level Rise (Marine Biodiversity):

Climate change impacts on a sedimentary coast—a regional synthesis from genes to ecosystems

Baltic Sea > Sea Level Dynamics (Nature):

Sea surface circulation in the Baltic Sea: decomposed components & pattern recognition

Queensland, Australia > Soil Erosion (CATENA):

Downscaled climate model erosivity projections & drivers of change across distinct climate regions

Tropical Cyclone Rainfall & Saharan Dust (Science):

Leading role of Saharan dust on tropical cyclone rainfall in the Atlantic Basin

EVs & Critical Minerals (Nature):

Climate impacts of critical mineral supply chain bottlenecks for electric vehicle deployment

Encouraging Business Investment In Emission Reductions (Nature):

Stock markets, corporate climate pledges, & the Science-Based Target Initiative

California > Adaptation By Vulnerable Communities (PNAS):

Climate change & public health in California: A structured review of exposures, vulnerable populations, & adaptation measures

Predicting E Asian Winter Precipitation (Nature):

Climatic influence of the Antarctic ozone hole on the East Asian winter precipitation

The CO2 Haven Hypothesis (Nature):

A new look at the CO2 haven hypothesis using gravity model European Union & China

The Voluntary Carbon Market (Nature):

Demand for low-quality offsets by major companies undermines climate integrity of the voluntary carbon market

Offshore Wind & Wave Energy, Daniel Kammen, et al. (Nature):

Offshore wind & wave energy can reduce total installed capacity required in zero-emissions grids

Germany > Groundwater & Sea Level Rise (Earth's Future):

Understanding Climate Change & Anthropogenic Impacts on the Salinization of Low-Lying Coastal Groundwater Systems

Global Biomass Burning Emissions (ESSD):

Global Emissions Inventory from Open Biomass Burning (GEIOBB): utilizing Fengyun-3D global fire spot monitoring data

Great Barrier Reef > Mass Coral Bleaching (Nature):

Highest ocean heat in four centuries places Great Barrier Reef in danger

US > Humid Heat Extremes (Nature):

Seasonal predictions of summer compound humid heat extremes in the southeastern US driven by sea surface temperatures

Human Health & Heat Stress (Nexus):

Comparing existing heat wave indices in identifying dangerous heat wave outdoor conditions

Antarctica > Vegetation Map (Nature):

A satellite-derived baseline of photosynthetic life across Antarctica

Alaska > Increasing Tundra Vegetation (Nature):

The give & take of Arctic greening: differential responses of the carbon sink-to-source threshold to light & temperature in tussock tundra may be influenced by vegetation cover

Sweden > Extreme Wildfire (Agr Forest Meteorol.):

Wildfire impacts on the carbon budget of a managed Nordic boreal forest

Brazil > Deforestation (PNAS):

A large net carbon loss attributed to anthropogenic & natural disturbances in the Amazon Arc of Deforestation

US > Coastal Development (Nature):

Removing development incentives in risky areas promotes climate adaptation

Greenland > Ice History (PNAS):

Plant, insect, & fungi fossils under the center of Greenland’s ice sheet are evidence of ice-free times

US > Wildfire & Population Mobility (Nature):

Rare & highly destructive wildfires drive human migration in the US

Global Extreme Waves (Nature):

Unveiling the global influence of tropical cyclones on extreme waves approaching coastal areas

NW China > Seasonal Warming (Nature):

The dominant warming season shifted from winter to spring in the arid region of Northwest China

Disruptions To The Natural Nitrogen Cycle (Nature):

Enhanced formation of nitrogenous organic aerosols & brown carbon after aging in the planetary boundary layer

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent (Nature):

Synergistic atmosphere-ocean-ice influences have driven the 2023 all-time Antarctic sea-ice record low

S. Korea > Heatwaves (Nature):

Unveiling teleconnection drivers for heatwave prediction in South Korea using explainable artificial intelligence

Global Surface & Stratospheric Temps (Nature):

Projected rapid response of stratospheric temperature to stringent climate mitigation

Coastal Flood Defences (Nature):

On detailed representation of flood defences & flow-wave coupling in coastal flood modelling

West Antarctica > Phytoplankton Growth (Nature):

Climate change is associated with higher phytoplankton biomass & longer blooms in the West Antarctic Peninsula

Antarctic Ice Sheet & Sea Levels (Science):

The influence of realistic 3D mantle viscosity on Antarctica’s contribution to future global sea levels

Plant Life, Soil Moisture & CO2 Dynamics (Nature):

Plant response to decreasing soil moisture under rising atmospheric CO2 levels

Predicting Tipping Elements (Science):

Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data

New Book (Springer, Open Access):

3 Degrees More; The Impending Hot Season & How Nature Can Help Us Prevent It (Download 284 pg)

Infectious Disease Emergence (PLOS):

Strain variation & anomalous climate synergistically influence cholera pandemics

The Arctic & Atmospheric Rivers (Nature):

Role of atmospheric rivers in shaping long term Arctic moisture variability

E. Bering & Chukchi Sea Fisheries (PLOS):

Future redistribution of fishery resources suggests biological & economic trade-offs according to the severity of the emission scenario

Subsurface Shore Barriers, Groundwater & Sea-Level Rise (Nature):

Shoreline barriers may amplify coastal groundwater hazards with sea-level rise

Tipping Point Risks, Johan Rockström, et al. (Nature):

Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks

PIK - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Press Release: Tipping risks from overshooting 1.5 °C can be minimised if warming is swiftly reversed

Antarctic Ice Shelf Melting (Science):

Swirls & scoops: Ice base melt revealed by multibeam imagery of an Antarctic ice shelf

Funding Decarbonization (Nature):

Just Energy Transition Partnerships & the future of coal

Southern Ocean Dynamics (Review of Geophysics):

Closing the Loops on Southern Ocean Dynamics: From the Circumpolar Current to Ice Shelves & From Bottom Mixing to Surface Waves

Chesapeake Bay, US > Estuarine Hypoxia (Nature):

Response of hypoxia to future climate change is sensitive to methodological assumptions