Lancet Countdown Report:

Abstract: The 2025 report of the Lancet Countdown on health & climate change

Lancet Webpage: 2025 Report Materials

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Antarctica > Phytoplankton Variability (Nature):

Long-term satellite data reveals complex phytoplankton dynamics in the Ross Sea, Antarctica
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Europe > Heatwaves (Nature):

Increasing central & northern European summer heatwave intensity due to forced changes in internal variability
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Global Food Systems & Planetary Boundaries (Nature):

Identifying the safe operating space for food systems
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New Book (Oxford):

Climate Obstruction: A Global Assessment

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Seagrass Carbon Dynamics (GBC):

Abrupt Loss of Soil Organic Carbon Following Disturbance in Seagrass Ecosystems
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Annual State of the Climate Report (BioScience):

The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink

PIK News: “State of the climate” 2025: Earth’s vital signs worsen, science shows options for livable future
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Global Impact on Oceanic Macrofauna (Nature):

The combined impact of fisheries & climate change on future carbon sequestration by oceanic macrofauna
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Arctic Sea-Ice Loss & Atmospheric Disturbances (JGR Atmos.):

Diverse & Weak Simulated Stratospheric Responses to Future Arctic Sea-Ice Loss
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China > Vegetation Resilience (GRL):

Climate Impacts on Forest & Grassland Resilience in China: The Role of Climate Inter-Annual Variability
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Zero-Carbon Shipping & Geopolitics (Nature):

Geopolitical risks impede global shipping decarbonization progress
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Arctic Sea Ice Loss & Monsoon Forecasting (GRL):

Continuously Shrinking Early Autumn Barents–Kara Sea Ice Hinders East Asian Winter Monsoon Forecasting
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Global Offshore Renewable Energy (Science):

The role of offshore wind & solar PV resources in global low-carbon transition
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Global Sea-Level Rise (Nature):

Multi-century global & regional sea-level rise commitments from cumulative greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades
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Failure of Carbon Credits (Nature Comment):

Carbon credits are failing to help with climate change — here’s why
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Arctic Sea-Ice Retreat (Nature):

Enhanced Arctic sea-ice retreat due to pronounced pacificization effect in the Holocene
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Ocean CO2 Uptake (GRL):

Temperature-Modulated Ocean CO2 Uptake in Response to CO2 Increase & Decrease
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Changing Global Belowground Ecosystems (Nature):

Climate change is predicted to reduce global belowground ecosystem multifunctionality
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Mediterranean Sea > Sea Level Projections (ERL):

Regionalized Mediterranean relative sea level projections under high-emission regional climate scenarios
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Antarctica > Sea Level Rise & Ice Flow Dynamics (Nature):

Subglacial geology & palaeo flow of Pine Island Glacier from combining glacial erratics with geophysics
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Worldwide Luxury Consumption (Annual Reviews):

What Has Been Done to Reduce Luxury Consumption? A Global Review
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Atlantic Ocean Marine Pollution (Nature):

Anthropogenic sources & oceanographic dynamics control the microplastic distribution in the Atlantic Ocean
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Canada > Heatwaves & Drought (GRL):

Prevailing Climate Patterns for Concurrent High Temperature & Low Precipitation Days in Canada
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Permafrost Thaw & Carbon Loss (ESD):

Permafrost response & feedback under temperature stabilization & overshoot scenarios with different global warming levels
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Antarctica > Glaciers & Seawater Intrusion (Nature):

Rapid retreat of Berry Glacier, West Antarctica, linked to seawater intrusions revealed by radar interferometry
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US > Urban Hoofprints (Nature):

The carbon hoofprint of cities is shaped by geography & production in the livestock supply chain

Author Correction: The carbon hoofprint of cities is shaped by geography and production in the livestock supply chain
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Acceleration of Extreme Events (Environ. Res.-Clim.):

Committed acceleration of climate stresses in the coming decades
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Global Mitigation Efforts & Economic Growth (Nature):

Mitigation efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions & meet the Paris Agreement have been offset by economic growth
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Decline in Ocean Greenness (Science):

Declining ocean greenness & phytoplankton blooms in low to mid-latitudes under a warming climate
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Atmospheric River Dynamics (Nature):

Atmospheric rivers emerge as future freshwater reserves & heat stocks
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AMOC & Influence of Southern Ocean (Nature):

Southern Ocean influence on Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation across climate states
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AMOC Slowdown Indication (Nature):

Equatorial Atlantic mid-depth warming indicates Atlantic meridional overturning circulation slowdown
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China > Sea-Level Rise (Nature):

Modern sea-level rise breaks 4,000-year stability in southeastern China
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Southern Ocean Freshening (Nature):

Southern Ocean freshening stalls deep ocean CO2 release in a changing climate
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Global Wildfires (ESSD):

State of Wildfires 2024–2025

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Intensifying El Niño-Southern Oscillation (Nature):

Global climate mode resonance due to rapidly intensifying El Niño-Southern Oscillation
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Global Extreme Precipitation Trends (GRL):

Human Influence on Changes in Seasonal Extreme Precipitation Across Different Land Regions
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Japan > Extreme Precipitation (Nature):

Regional & vertical scaling of water vapor with temperature over Japan during extreme precipitation in a changing climate
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Europe > Adaptation to Cascading Impacts (Nature):

Critical intervention points for European adaptation to cascading climate change impacts
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Boston & the Netherlands > Sea-Level Rise (Procedia Comput. Sci.):

Climate adaption pathways for sea-level rise: case studies from Boston & the Netherlands
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China > Urban Extreme Heat (Earth's Future):

Urban Adaptation Strategies Alleviate the Exposure of Future Population to Extreme Heat in China
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Florida > Mangroves & Storm Surges (Cell Reports Sustainability):

The spatially variable effects of mangroves on flood depths & losses from storm surges in Florida
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S Africa > Changes in Precipitation (WIREs Review):

Southern African Climate Change: Processes, Models, & Projections
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Sea Level Rise, Global & Local (GRL):

Modeling Sea Level Rise Over 1993–2022: Implications for Understanding Coastal Observations
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Antarctic Sea Ice Loss (GRL):

Extreme Antarctic Sea Ice Loss Facilitated by Negative Shift of Southern Annular Mode
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US Southwest > Increasing Precipitation (Climate Dynamics):

Climate models project increasing precipitation in the US Southwest in 2024–2100
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Indian Ocean > Marine Heatwaves (Climate Dynamics):

Differences in subsurface marine heatwave characteristics at two tropical South West Indian Ocean islands: influence of the south equatorial countercurrent & eddy activity
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W Antarctic Ice Sheet & Sea-Level Rise (Nature):

Southern Ocean evidence for recurring West Antarctic Ice Sheet destabilization during Marine Isotope Stage 11
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Southern Ocean & CO2 Uptake (GRL):

Increased Carbon Sink Within the Seasonal Sea Ice Zone Associated With Climate Variability in the Southern Ocean
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Tropical SE Atlantic > Marine Heatwaves (Science):

Positive Indian Ocean Dipole intensifies marine heatwaves in the tropical southeast Atlantic coastal region
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Alaska > Peat-Fires (Nature):

Peatland fires in Alaska will double by the end of the century
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China > Heatwaves & Ozone (Nature):

Future warming exacerbates heatwave-ozone compound extremes in China
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New Fossil Fuel Projects (Nature):

Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making
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Mountain Glacier Impacts (Nature):

Mountain glaciers recouple to atmospheric warming over the twenty-first century
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Global Tipping Points (Int'l Research Group Report):

Global Tipping Points Report 2025 (download)

Nature News: Coral die-off marks Earth’s first climate ‘tipping point’, scientists say

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Tipping Points in Circulation Systems (ESD):

Tipping points in ocean & atmosphere circulations

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Germany > Livestock & Wolves (People & Nature):

How to reconcile pasture grazing & wolf recolonisation? Perceptions of management options by livestock farmers in Germany
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Stefan Rahmstorf on AMOC (RealClimate Blog):

High-resolution ‘fingerprint’ images reveal a weakening Atlantic Ocean circulation (AMOC)
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Projecting Emissions & Sea-Level Rise (Cornell U News re: Nature Paywalled Study):

Cornell Chronicle: To prevent rapid sea-level rise, reduce emissions now

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Ag Heat Impacts (ERL):

Amplified agricultural impacts from more frequent & intense sequential heat events
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Impacts on Marine Ecosystems (BG):

Mapping the safe operating space of marine ecosystems under contrasting emission pathways
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E Asia > Summer Heatwaves (ERL):

Hotspots of summer heatwaves in East Asia & their associated radiative & dynamical forcing
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SW North America > Hot Drought (GRL):

Hot Drought of Summer 2023 in Southwestern North America
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Aviation Clouds & Warming (Earth's Future):

A Stylized Study of the Climate Response to Longwave & Shortwave Forcing at the Altitude of Aviation-Induced Cirrus
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India > Malaria Risk (Nature):

Changing climate & its impacts on the dynamics of future malaria transmission over certain endemic regions in India
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Global Mountain Landscape Loss (Nature):

Global loss of mountain vegetated landscapes & its impact on biodiversity conservation
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Migration & Immobility (Annual Review):

Immobility in the Context of Climate Change
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Europe > Extreme Weather Ag Risks (STOTEN Review):

Extreme weather risks for European agriculture (1981–2020): A quantitative review using the E3CI
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China > River Runoff (Nature):

Climate change & human activities amplify runoff variability risks in lower reaches of large rivers
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Africa > Ag Adaptation (Nature Review):

A systematic review of climate change adaptation in vegetable farming systems in Africa
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Amazon Forest Fire-Driven Degradation (BG Ltrs):

Extensive fire-driven degradation in 2024 marks worst Amazon forest disturbance in over 2 decades
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Canada > Burned Peatland Emissions (GRL):

Large Carbon Losses From Burned Permafrost Peatlands During Post-Fire Succession
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Marine Heatwaves, Food Webs & Carbon (Nature):

Marine heatwaves modulate food webs & carbon transport processes
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Amazon River > Plastic Pollution (Ambio Review):

Plastic pollution in the Amazon: The first comprehensive & structured scoping review
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Arctic Stratosphere Dynamics (Nature):

Arctic stratospheric ozone as a precursor of ENSO events since 2000s
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Europe's Marine Heatwaves (Nature):

Recent European marine heatwaves are unprecedented but not unexpected
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Austria > Rain & Debris Flows (Nature):

Climate induced increase in frequency & area affected by critical rainfall conditions triggering debris flows in Austria
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Global Crop Water Consumption (Nature):

Global spatially explicit crop water consumption shows an overall increase of 9% for 46 agricultural crops from 2010 to 2020
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Global Food Waste (Cell Rep. Sustain. Commentary):

The global convergence of food waste: A growing sustainability challenge
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Energy Transition Macroeconomics (Energy Strategy Reviews):

Macroeconomic impact of energy transition: A comparative study of developed & developing countries
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N Atlantic - Europe > Changing Precipitation (WCD):

How relevant are frequency changes of weather regimes for understanding climate change signals in surface precipitation in the North Atlantic–European sector? A conceptual analysis with CESM1 large ensemble simulations
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Mitigation / Adaptation Decision-Making Tool (ERL Review):

The (Co)Benefits Portal—an evidence-based & climate policy-relevant tool for decision-making
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Our Global Food System & Planetary Boundaries (Lancet):

Lancet (Paywall): The EAT–Lancet Commission on healthy, sustainable, and just food systems

Explained by Johan Rockström (5.5 min):


 

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Antarctic Sea Ice Dynamics (ERL):

Reversal of Ross Sea shelf water freshening is linked to a persistent decline in Antarctic sea ice since the mid-2010s
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Marine Heatwave Attribution (ERC):

Lagrangian attribution of marine heatwave drivers
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Reservoir CO2 & CH4 Emissions (Nature):

Freeze-thaw seasonal variations & environmental controls of CO2 & CH4 diffusive emissions from reservoirs in the upper Yellow River
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Net Zero & Heatwaves (Environ. Res. Clim.):

Heatwaves in a net zero World
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Arabian Gulf > Marine Heatwaves (Nature):

Intensification of marine heatwaves & their climate drivers in the Arabian Gulf
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AMOC & Bipolar Convection Seesaw (Nature):

Earth system response to Heinrich events explained by a bipolar convection seesaw
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Europe > Changes in Hailstorms (NHESS):

Insights from hailstorm track analysis in European climate change simulations
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Southern Ocean Ice & Heat Uptake Dynamics (ESD):

Increased future ocean heat uptake constrained by Antarctic sea ice extent
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IPCC Emissions Scenarios (Nature):

Influence of individual models & studies on quantitative mitigation findings in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report
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Consumption by the Rich (Nature):

Nudge the rich! The case for targeting the top 10% in behavioural climate policy
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Destabilising Tipping Elements (Potsdam Inst. Press Release on Nature Paywalled Paper):

Nature (Paywall): Destabilization of Earth system tipping elements

PIK Press Release: Four major Earth system components are losing stability

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Antarctica > Seafloor Seeps (Nature):

Antarctic seep emergence & discovery in the shallow coastal environment
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The Warming Arctic (GRL):

Intensified Warm & Moist Arctic Coast in Summer Due To Future Sea Ice Retreat
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Justice & Int'l Migration (Nature):

Evidence of climate & economic drivers affecting migration in an unequal & warming world
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Renewed Doughnut Framework for Human Needs & Planetary Integrity (Nature):

Doughnut of social & planetary boundaries monitors a world out of balance

Nature Editorial: End GDP mania: how the world should really measure prosperity
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Predicting Sea Level Changes (Science):

Relative sea level projections constrained by historical trends at tide gauge sites
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Planetary Boundary Report (Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research):

Planetary Health Check 2025 (Download 144 pg)

Mongabay: Interview with Johan Rockström
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