One Blue World: September 2024

China > Developing Desert Photovoltaic Parks (Nature):

Assessment of the ecological & environmental effects of large-scale photovoltaic development in desert areas

Predicting Global CO2 Emissions (Nature):

Forecasting national CO2 emissions worldwide

Author Correction

The Ocean CO2 Sink (Nature):

Constraining the trend in the ocean CO2 sink during 2000–2022

Baltic Sea Marine Heatwaves (Nature):

Variability of marine heatwaves’ characteristics & assessment of their potential drivers in the Baltic Sea over the last 42 years

Assessing Tropical Cyclone Risk (Nature):

Modeling surge dynamics improves coastal flood estimates in a global set of tropical cyclones

Global Human Coastal Populations (Nature):

Accelerating growth of human coastal populations at the global & continent levels: 2000–2018

Global Compound Hot-Dry Events (Nature):

A high-resolution dataset for future compound hot-dry events under climate change

Deer Responses & Dynamics (Global Change Biology Review):

Climate change & deer in boreal & temperate regions: From physiology to population dynamics & species distributions

US > Extreme Temp Mortality (JAMA):

Projections of Extreme Temperature–Related Deaths in the US

Indigenous Shellfishing & Resiliency (Nature):

Shellfishing, sea levels, & the earliest Native American villages (5000–3800 yrs. BP) of the South Atlantic Coast of the US

Global Ag Carbon Sinks (Nature):

Enhanced agricultural carbon sinks provide benefits for farmers & the climate

Global Heatwaves, Croplands & Food Security (ERL):

Increasing exposure of global croplands productivity to growing season heatwaves under climate warming

Global Post-Drought Precip (GRL):

Future Increase in Post-Drought Precipitation With a Stronger Response to Warming

US > Mental Burnout (J of Enviro Psychology):

Thinking about the future: Examining the exacerbating & attenuating factors of despair-induced climate burnout

Rationing Policy Acceptance (Nature):

Public acceptability of climate-motivated rationing

S America > Severe Impacts (Nature):

South America is becoming warmer, drier, & more flammable

Arctic Ocean Marine Heatwaves (Nature):

Arctic Amplification of marine heatwaves under global warming

Extreme El Niño Events (Nature):

Future increase in extreme El Niño supported by past glacial changes

Atlantic Ocean's Sargasso Sea Region > Phytoplankton Warming Response (Nature):

Climate variability shifts the vertical structure of phytoplankton in the Sargasso Sea

Increasingly Large Wildfires & Feedbacks (Nature):

Forest fire size amplifies postfire land surface warming

Understanding Extreme Events (ASL):

A shifting climate: New paradigms & challenges for (early career) scientists in extreme weather research

Antarctic Algae Blooms (JGR):

Chlorophyll Production in the Amundsen Sea Boosts Heat Flux to Atmosphere & Weakens Heat Flux to Ice Shelves

Predicting Sea Ice Cover (Royal Society):

On transitions in water wave propagation through consolidated to broken sea ice covers

Planetary Health Check, Johan Rockström, Et al. (New Report & Website):

Planetary Health Check (Download 97 pg 2024 Report)

Scenario-Based Adaptation Planning (Frontiers):

Scenario planning for climate adaptation & management: a high-level synthesis & standardization of methodology

Arctic-Subarctic Permafrost Thaw & Wildfire (Nature):

Abrupt increase in Arctic-Subarctic wildfires caused by future permafrost thaw

Sustainable Global Fisheries (Nature):

Rethinking sustainability of marine fisheries for a fast-changing planet

Summer Weather Extremes (Nature):

Increased projected changes in quasi-resonant amplification & persistent summer weather extremes in the latest multimodel climate projections

Svalbard > Warming & Cloud Microphysics (Nature):

Surface warming in Svalbard may have led to increases in highly active ice-nucleating particles

China > Urban Heat Islands & Trees (AAS):

Enhanced Cooling Efficiency of Urban Trees on Hotter Summer Days in 70 Cities of China

Evidence-Based Policies (Nature News):

Scientists are building giant ‘evidence banks’ to create policies that actually work

Colorado River > Water Scarcity (Earth's Future):

Scenario Storyline Discovery for Planning in Multi-Actor Human-Natural Systems Confronting Change

China > Peak Emissions (Nature Commentary):

What does peak emissions mean for China — & the world?

US > Flood Exposure (2 Studies):

Earth's Future: A Nationwide Analysis of Community-Level Floodplain Development Outcomes & Key Influences

Oxford Open Climate Change: How local governments avoid floodplain development through consistent implementation of routine municipal ordinances, plans, & programs

Ireland > Framing the Farming Message (J of Rural Studies):

Policy & politics: How specialist farming media frame climate action

Siberia > Shifting Wildfire Regime (AGU Advances):

Escalating Wildfires in Siberia Driven by Climate Feedbacks Under a Warming Arctic in the 21st Century

Large Seabird Southern Ocean Sea-Ice Habitat (Progress In Oceanography):

Seasonal resource tracking & use of sea-ice foraging habitats by albatrosses & large petrels

Antarctic Ice Loss (Nature):

Ocean warming as a trigger for irreversible retreat of the Antarctic ice sheet

Global Marine Ecosystem Risks (PLOS):

Cumulative human impacts on global marine fauna highlight risk to biological and functional diversity

Amazon > Carbon Cycle Projections (Nature):

Emergent constraints on future Amazon climate change-induced carbon loss using past global warming trends

Antarctic Sea Ice Production (Nature):

Evidence for large-scale climate forcing of dense shelf water variability in the Ross Sea

W Mediterranean Region > Extreme Heat (Nature):

Recent heatwaves as a prelude to climate extremes in the western Mediterranean region

Africa > New Earth4All Report:

SDGs for All: Africa (download 68 pg)

IPCC Author Survey (Nature):

Perceptions of carbon dioxide emission reductions & future warming among climate experts

Planning Green Energy Systems (Adv. Appl. Energy):

Planning reliable wind- & solar-based electricity systems

US > Urban Heat & Just Strategies (PNAS):

Prioritizing social vulnerability in urban heat mitigation

UK > Weather-Related Mortality (Lancet):

Expert judgement reveals current & emerging UK climate-mortality burden

Scientists & Activism (Nature):

Between two worlds the scientist’s dilemma in climate activism

Beyond GDP (Lancet Review):

Beyond GDP: a review & conceptual framework for measuring sustainable & inclusive wellbeing

Adaptation Solutions (Nature Perspective):

Improving adaptation assessment in the IPCC

Minimizing Aviation Contrails (ACP):

The importance of an informed choice of CO2-equivalence metrics for contrail avoidance

Borneo > Logging & CO2 (New Phytologist):

From tree to plot: investigating stem CO2 efflux & its drivers along a logging gradient in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo

Greenland > Rockslide & Tsunami (Nature News on Paywalled Science Paper):

Nature News: Weird signal that baffled seismologists traced to mega-landslide in Greenland

Science: A rockslide-generated tsunami in a Greenland fjord rang Earth for 9 days (Paywall)

Twitter Discourse (Discover Sustainability):

Tweeting climate change: analyzing actor diversity & influence in climate-change discourse post-Paris agreement

Fossil Fuel Finance (Nature):

The challenge of phasing-out fossil fuel finance in the banking sector

UK > Academic Air Travel (GEC):

Tackling the academic air travel dependency. An analysis of the (in)consistency between academics’ travel behaviour & their attitudes

US > Religious Beliefs (Nature):

Belief in divine (versus human) control of earth affects perceived threat of climate change

New Open Access Book:

Leaving Fossil Fuels Underground; Actors, Arguments & Approaches in the Global South & Global North (download 259 pg)

S Atlantic Ocean Carbon Pump (Global Biogeochemical Cycles):

The Changing Biological Carbon Pump of the South Atlantic Ocean

US > Eastern Forests (Global Change Biology):

Asymmetric effects of hydroclimate extremes on eastern US tree growth: Implications on current demographic shifts & climate variability

Antarctic Ice Sheet > Projecting Changes (Earth's Future):

Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Over the Next Three Centuries From an ISMIP6 Model Ensemble

N Hemisphere > Heatwave Trends (Nature):

Sketching the spatial disparities in heatwave trends by changing atmospheric teleconnections in the Northern Hemisphere

Global Consumer Risk & Inequality (Nature):

Global economic impact of weather variability on the rich & the poor

Greenland Ice Sheet > Extreme Melting (J of Climate):

Rising Extreme Meltwater Trends in Greenland Ice Sheet (1950–2022): Surface Energy Balance & Large-Scale Circulation Changes

Carbon Footprint Inequality (Nature):

Underestimation of personal carbon footprint inequality in four diverse countries

A Just & Safe Planet, Johan Rockström, et al. (Lancet):

A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, & transformations

See Resources Page For More On Earth System / Planetary Boundaries

Sweden > Extreme Weather Hotspots (SERRA):

Identifying regional hotspots of heatwaves, droughts, floods, & their co-occurrences

Tibetan Plateau Heatwave (Weather & Climate Extremes):

Land-atmosphere coupling amplified the record-breaking heatwave at altitudes above 5000 meters on the Tibetan Plateau in July 2022

Boreal Forest Diversity (Nature):

Boreal tree species diversity increases with global warming but is reversed by extremes

Global Forest Loss (One Earth):

Disproportionate low-elevation forest loss in over 65% of the world’s mountains calls for targeted conservation

Sea Ice-Ocean Storm Response (JGR):

Air-Ice-Ocean Coupling During a Strong Mid-Winter Cyclone: Observing Coupled Dynamic Interactions Across Scales

Antarctic Krill Fishery (Nature):

Whale recovery & the emerging human-wildlife conflict over Antarctic krill

Marine Mammal & Ocean Health (Nature):

Marine mammals as indicators of Anthropocene Ocean Health

US > Increasing Winter Precip (Nature):

Robust future intensification of winter precipitation over the US

Europe & US > Extreme Urban Rain (Earth's Future):

Intensification & Changing Spatial Extent of Heavy Rainfall in Urban Areas

Digital Inputs & Emissions Reduction (ERL):

Digital input requirements for global carbon emission reduction

US > Hydropower Projections (ERL):

Multi-scale impacts of climate change on hydropower for long-term water-energy planning in the contiguous US

Indigenous Peoples’ Knowledge (Nature Commentary):

No basis for claim that 80% of biodiversity is found in Indigenous territories

Mapping Global Urban Precip Hotspots (PNAS):

Global scale assessment of urban precipitation anomalies

California > Hazard Perceptions (EAB):

Spatial Optimism & Cross-Over Effects in the Perceptions of Interconnected Wildfire, Flood, & Mudslide Hazards

Biomethane Feedstock Production CO2 Emissions (Nature):

Biomethane produced from maize grown on peat emits more CO2 than natural gas

S Himalayas > Worker Heat Stress (Nature):

Evaluating heat stress & occupational risks in the Southern Himalayas under current & future climates

Global Governance, Influence & Interest Groups (Nature):

Global climate governance inequality unveiled through dynamic influence assessment

Canada > Indigenous Alternatives (Yellowhead Institute):

From Risk to Resilience: Indigenous Alternatives to Climate Risk Assessment in Canada (Download 24 pg)

Tropical Cyclones & Infectious Disease Risk (Lancet):

Risks of infectious disease hospitalisations in the aftermath of tropical cyclones: a multi-country time-series study

Carbon Pricing Policies (Nature):

Public support for carbon pricing policies & revenue recycling options: a systematic review & meta-analysis of the survey literature

Blue Carbon & Krill (Nature):

Antarctic krill sequester similar amounts of carbon to key coastal blue carbon habitats

Global Wildfire Extent & Severity (Frontiers Review):

The global drivers of wildfire

Europe > Carbon Mgmt (Climate Policy):

Resistance to market interventionism: an analysis of the European industrial carbon management strategy consultation

US > Extreme Rain (GRL):

Short-Duration Extreme Rainfall Events in the Central & Eastern US During the Summer: 2003–2023 Trends & Variability

Canada > Resilient Boreal Forests (For. Ecol. Manage.):

Mixed stands of black spruce (Picea mariana) & tamarack (Larix laricina) offer high secondary growth in eastern boreal forests of Canada

New Zealand > Extreme Rainfall (Earth's Future):

Cyclone Gabrielle as a Design Storm for Northeastern Aotearoa New Zealand Under Anthropogenic Warming

Emissions & Lifestyles (CLPL):

The social cost of carbon falling on the wealthy

Global Wetland CH4 Emissions (Earth's Future):

Global Wetland Methane Emissions From 2001 to 2020: Magnitude, Dynamics & Controls

Conserving Reefs & Reef Sharks (Nature):

Environmental stress reduces shark residency to coral reefs

Integrated CO2 Capture & Conversion (Nature):

Reactive capture of CO2 via amino acid

Nature-Based Tourism (People & Nature):

Opportunities for meaningful climate change engagement in vulnerable nature settings

Arctic Emerging Diseases (Nature World View):

Why the next pandemic could come from the Arctic — & what to do about it

The Netherlands > Perceived Scientist Credibility (Geoscience Communication):

The (non)effect of personalization in climate texts on the credibility of climate scientists: a case study on sustainable travel

India > Public Understanding (Nature News):

How does the world’s most populous country perceive climate change?

Sports & Extreme Weather (Nature Editorial):

Unsporting climate

N America > Extreme Wet & Dry (GRL):

Centennial-Scale Intensification of Wet & Dry Extremes in North America

Florida Current & AMOC (Nature):

Florida Current transport observations reveal four decades of steady state

2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season (BAMS):

The 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season: An Above-Normal Season despite Strong El Niño Conditions

Antarctic Meltwater & AMOC (Nature):

Antarctic meltwater reduces the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation through oceanic freshwater transport & atmospheric teleconnections

Arctic Sea Ice (Nature):

Summer snow on Arctic sea ice modulated by the Arctic Oscillation

Patagonia > Changes to Rivers & Coastal Waters (Nature):

Hydrographic shifts in coastal waters reflect climate-driven changes in hydrological regimes across Northwestern Patagonia

Antarctica > Response to Atmospheric River (Earth's Future):

Response of a Terrestrial Polar Ecosystem to the March 2022 Antarctic Weather Anomaly

Threats to Global Soil Biodiversity (iScience):

Global changes & their environmental stressors have a significant impact on soil biodiversity—A meta-analysis

Industry Influencing Higher Ed (WIREs):

Fossil fuel industry influence in higher education: A review & a research agenda

Changes To Global Wetlands (Earth's Future):

Climate-Driven Projections of Future Global Wetlands Extent

Africa > E. Atlantic Ocean Sea Level Rise (Nature):

Exploring steric sea level variability in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean: a three-decade study (1993–2022)

Author Correction

Tropical Forest Soil Carbon Storage (Nature):

Experimental warming & drying increase older carbon contributions to soil respiration in lowland tropical forests

US > Community Engagement in Clean Energy (ERSS):

Halfway up the ladder: Developer practices & perspectives on community engagement for utility-scale renewable energy in the US

Global Economic Growth & Emissions Growth (Nature):

World economies’ progress in decoupling from CO2 emissions

Arctic Ice Dynamics (Nature):

Multiscale mushy layer model for Arctic marginal ice zone dynamics

Blue Carbon In Marine Protected Areas (Nature):

Blue carbon storage in a sub-Antarctic marine protected area

Global Marine Nutrient & Carbon Cycle (Nature):

Transient overturning changes cause an upper-ocean nutrient decline in a warming climate

Denmark > Changing Bird Populations (Oikos):

Changes in Danish bird communities over four decades of climate & land-use change

Sea Surface Temps (Nature):

Tropical & Antarctic sea ice impacts of observed Southern Ocean warming & cooling trends since 1949

Global Urban Green Space Inequality (Nature):

Green spaces provide substantial but unequal urban cooling globally

Arctic–Boreal Wildfires (Nature):

Spatial variability in Arctic–boreal fire regimes influenced by environmental & human factors

Antarctica > Cold-Adapted Species At Risk (Nature Review):

Antarctic benthic ecological change

Intense Tropical Cyclones (Nature):

Robust future projections of global spatial distribution of major tropical cyclones & sea level pressure gradients

Global Urban Bldg Growth (Nature):

Global urban structural growth shows a profound shift from spreading out to building up

New Global Flood Map (Water Resources Research):

A 30 m Global Flood Inundation Model for Any Climate Scenario

Predicting Extreme Rains (Weather & Climate Extremes):

A new conceptual model for understanding & predicting life-threatening rainfall extremes

Global Water Security Risks (Nature):

Upwind moisture supply increases risk to water security

Press Release (Stockholm Resilience Centre): The risk of global water shortages is greater than previously thought, new research shows

US > Beef Production Emissions (Nature):

Greenhouse gas emissions in US beef production can be reduced by up to 30% with the adoption of selected mitigation measures

Global Dengue Virus Transmission (Nature):

Population at risk of dengue virus transmission has increased due to coupled climate factors & population growth

US > EV Equity Issues (Energy & Climate Change):

Toward just & equitable mobility: Socioeconomic & perceptual barriers for electric vehicles & charging infrastructure in the US

Arctic Ocean > Mercury Risk (Nature):

Near surface oxidation of elemental mercury leads to mercury exposure in the Arctic Ocean biota

Eucalyptus, Soil & CO2 Dynamics (Nature):

Assessing soil CO2 emission on eucalyptus species using UAV-based reflectance & vegetation indices