One Blue World: October 2024

Predicting Arctic Sea Ice Extent (Nature):

Indian summer monsoon’s role in shaping variability in Arctic sea ice

Greenland Ice Sheet & Sea Level Dynamics (Nature):

Vertical bedrock shifts reveal summer water storage in Greenland ice sheet

Pursuing Sustainable Development Goals (ERL):

Multiple pathways towards sustainable development goals & climate targets

Global Tropical Forest Restoration (Nature):

Global potential for natural regeneration in deforested tropical regions

Lake Erie > Water Quality & Fisheries (PNAS):

Water quality–fisheries tradeoffs in a changing climate underscore the need for adaptive ecosystem–based management

London > Cool & Solar Roof Benefits (Nature):

Modeled temperature, mortality impact & external benefits of cool roofs & rooftop photovoltaics in London

Southern Ocean > Ice, Krill & Whales (Nature):

Population changes in a Southern Ocean krill predator point towards regional Antarctic sea ice declines

Europe > Heat Wave Mortality (Nature):

Mortality burden attributed to anthropogenic warming during Europe’s 2022 record-breaking summer

North Sea > Bottom Trawling & CO2 Storage (Nature):

Long-term carbon storage in shelf sea sediments reduced by intensive bottom trawling

New Research Synthesis Report:

10 New Insights in Climate Science 2024/2025 (download 52 pg)

Nordic Sea Freshwater Dynamics (Nature):

Arctic freshwater outflow suppressed Nordic Seas overturning & oceanic heat transport during the Last Interglacial

S America > Forest Loss (Nature):

Non-adaptedness & vulnerability to climate change threaten Plathymenia trees (Fabaceae) from the Cerrado & Atlantic Forest

Arctic Oscillation Variability & Weather Predictions (Nature):

Structural fluctuations of the Arctic Oscillation tied to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

New Book (U of California Press):

Climate Anxiety & the Kid Question: Deciding Whether to Have Children in an Uncertain Future

New Book (Springer Nature):

Heatwaves: Causes, Consequences & Responses

Rainfall Extremes (Weather Clim. Extrem.):

Unravelling the complex interplay between daily & sub-daily rainfall extremes in different climates

Stratospheric Disturbance Dynamics (Nature):

Enhanced stratosphere-troposphere & tropics-Arctic couplings in the 2023/24 winter

US > Winter Extremes & Energy Grid (Nature):

The impact of North American winter weather regimes on electricity load in the central US

Alaska > Permafrost & Oil / Gas Extraction (Nature):

Frozen no more, a case study of Arctic permafrost impacts of oil & gas withdrawal

Antarctic Sea Ice Decreasing (Nature):

A drop in Antarctic sea ice extent at the end of the 1970s

Weakening Global Land CO2 Sink (Nat'l Science Review):

Low latency carbon budget analysis reveals a large decline of the land carbon sink in 2023 (download PDF)

Polar Bears, Pathogens & Parasites (PLOS):

Increased pathogen exposure of a marine apex predator over three decades

Urban Heat Island Dynamics (Nature):

Nonlinear changes in urban heat island intensity, urban breeze intensity, & urban air pollutant concentration with roof albedo

N Atlantic Sea Levels (Nature):

Exploring multiyear-to-decadal North Atlantic sea level predictability & prediction using machine learning

Needed: Transparent & Realistic National Mitigation Plans (Nature):

Over-reliance on land for carbon dioxide removal in net-zero climate pledges

Marine Heatwaves & Shifting Sardine Range (Molecular Ecology):

Crossing the Pacific: Genomics Reveals the Presence of Japanese Sardine (Sardinops melanosticta) in the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem

Heat Waves & Air Pollution (PNAS):

Heat waves may trigger unexpected surge in aerosol & ozone precursor emissions from sedges in urban landscapes

Conserving Global Biodiversity (Nature):

Involving citizens in monitoring the Kunming–Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework

Canada > Heatwaves & Streamflow Responses (Earth's Future):

The Streamflow Response to Multi-Day Warm Anomaly Events: Sensitivity to Future Warming & Spatiotemporal Variability by Event Magnitude

Global Heatwaves (Nature):

Characterizing heatwaves based on land surface energy budget

Marsh-Fronted Seawall Coastal Solutions (Nature):

Marsh restoration in front of seawalls is an economically justified nature-based solution for coastal protection

Pacific Ocean & Atmospheric Rivers (Nature):

Response of the upper ocean to northeast Pacific atmospheric rivers under climate change

US > Floods, Skepticism & Vulnerable Communities (ERL):

Triple exposure: the geographic correlation between flood risk, climate skepticism, & social vulnerability in the US

Indian Ocean > Vulnerable Whale Sharks (Sci. Total Environ.):

Effects of climate warming on energetics & habitat of the world's largest marine ectotherm

Cape Cod, US > PFAS Fish Contamination (Environ. Sci. Technol.)

Characterizing the Areal Extent of PFAS Contamination in Fish Species Downgradient of AFFF Source Zones

Global Plant CO2 Uptake (Oak Ridge Lab Story On Paywalled Nature Paper):

Oak Ridge Nat'l Lab: Plant CO2 uptake rises by nearly one third in new global estimates

Nature (Paywall): Terrestrial photosynthesis inferred from plant carbonyl sulfide uptake

Europe > Drought (Nature):

Direct & lagged climate change effects intensified the 2022 European drought

CO2 R&D Activities (Nature Review):

Sustainable production of CO2-derived materials

S Korea > Heatwaves & Public Health (Nature):

Compound impact of heatwaves on vulnerable groups considering age, income, & disability

Ocean Temp Dynamics (Nature):

Synchronous decadal climate variability in the tropical Central Pacific & tropical South Atlantic

Brazilian Amazon > Deforestation & Malaria (PNAS):

Ecological change increases malaria risk in the Brazilian Amazon

Wildfire & Human Health (Potsdam Institute Story On 2 Paywalled Nature Studies):

PIK News: New attribution studies: Increasing effects of global warming on fire dynamics & public health

Nature (Paywall): Attributing human mortality from fire PM2.5 to climate change

Nature (Paywall): Global burned area increasingly explained by climate change

Arctic Warming & Severe Winters (Nature):

Anomalous Arctic warming linked with severe winter weather in Northern Hemisphere continents

Coastal Urbanization & Mangroves (Nature):

Coastal urbanization may indirectly positively impact growth of mangrove forests

Internal Migration Flows (Phys.Org Story on Paywalled Nature Paper):

Phys.org: Climate change impacts internal migration worldwide, census data analysis reveals

Nature (Paywall): Drought & aridity influence internal migration worldwide

UK > Household Energy Consumption (Energy Efficiency):

Physical, socio-psychological, & behavioural determinants of household energy consumption in the UK

Increasing Forest Fire CO2 Emissions (ScienceDaily Story on Paywalled Science Paper):

ScienceDaily: Global carbon dioxide emissions from forest fires increase by 60 percent

Science (Paywall): Global rise in forest fire emissions linked to climate change in the extratropics

Extreme Event Attribution (Frontiers Review):

Frontiers in attributing climate extremes & associated impacts

China > Extreme Drought (ERL):

Attribution analysis of the persistent & extreme drought in southwest China during 2022–2023

California > Shifting Grasslands (Nature):

Rapid shifts in grassland communities driven by climate change

Extreme Ocean Temps (Nature):

Common occurrences of subsurface heatwaves & cold spells in ocean eddies

China > Heatwaves, Air Pollution & Greenery (Nature):

The combined effects of heatwaves, air pollution & greenery on the risk of frailty: a national cohort study

Arctic Sea-Ice (Nature):

Drivers of summer Arctic sea-ice extent at interannual time scale in CMIP6 large ensembles revealed by information flow

Antarctica > Refractory Black Carbon Emissions (Nature):

Seasonal changes in black carbon footprint on the Antarctic Peninsula due to rising shipborne tourism & forest fires

Australia > Energy & Extreme Temps (Nature):

The risk of energy hardship increases with extreme heat & cold in Australia

Recent Warming Acceleration (Nature):

A recent surge in global warming is not detectable yet

UCSC Press Release: Global warming is happening, but not statistically ‘surging,’ new study finds

Zeke Hausfather Explainer (4/4/24, CarbonBrief): Factcheck: Why the recent ‘acceleration’ in global warming is what scientists expect

E. Antarctica > Emperor Penguins At Risk (ESR):

Fast ice variability in East Antarctica: observed repercussions for emperor penguins

Southeast Asia > Extreme Heatwave (Nature):

The characterization, mechanism, predictability, & impacts of the unprecedented 2023 Southeast Asia heatwave

Europe > Forest Diversity (Nature):

Resilience of genetic diversity in forest trees over the Quaternary

Europe > Ozone Contributions (Nature):

National & transboundary contributions to surface ozone concentration across European countries

US > Mental Health & Engagement (Nature):

Climate change psychological distress is associated with increased collective climate action in the US

Social Media & Populist Tropes (Nature):

Social media engagement in people & climate change

China > Household Carbon Footprints (Nature):

Assessing the impacts of fertility & retirement policies on China’s carbon emissions

US > Incarceration Infrastructure (Environ. Plan. E: Nat. Space):

“Because we’re dying in here”: A study of environmental vulnerability & climate risks in incarceration infrastructure

Kenya > Solar & Wind Power (Cell Rep.):

The map behind the roadmap—Introducing a geospatial energy model for utility-scale solar & wind power buildout in Kenya

Projecting Global Changes (Nature):

network-based constraint to evaluate climate sensitivity

China > Sustainable Rice (Nature):

Signatures of local adaptation & maladaptation to future climate in wild Zizania latifolia

Changing Pacific Atoll Islands (Nature):

Island change framework defines dominant modes of atoll island dynamics in response to environmental change

Global Extreme Precip Events (Nature):

Amplified temperature sensitivity of extreme precipitation events following heat stress

Ripple & Rockström (Context Commentary):

We are near tipping points that will make the climate crisis worse

Extreme Marine Heatwaves (Science):

The massive 2016 marine heatwave in the Southwest Pacific: An “El Niño–Madden-Julian Oscillation” compound event

Rocket Launch Emissions (Nature):

Global 3D rocket launch & re-entry air pollutant & CO2 emissions at the onset of the megaconstellation era

Permafrost Feedback (Science):

Temperature sensitivity of the mineral permafrost feedback at the continental scale

Overshoot Risks (Nature):

Overconfidence in climate overshoot

Arctic As Carbon Sink (Nature):

Benthic remineralization under future Arctic conditions & evaluating the potential for changes in carbon sequestration in warming sediments

Sea Temps & Hurricanes (PNAS):

Forced & unforced ocean temperature changes in Atlantic & Pacific tropical cyclogenesis regions

Arctic > PFAS Contamination (Sci. Total Environ.):

Cross-cutting studies of per- & polyfluorinated alkyl substances (PFAS) in Arctic wildlife & humans

Arctic > Expanding Heatwaves (Nature):

Manifold increase in the spatial extent of heatwaves in the terrestrial Arctic

Peru > Vulnerable Glaciers (Cryosphere):

El Niño enhances snow-line rise & ice loss on the Quelccaya Ice Cap, Peru

China > Coal Use (WIREs Review):

Managing the decline of coal in a decarbonizing China

China > Sustainable Housing (Sustainability):

Simulation & Analysis of Factors Influencing Climate Adaptability & Strategic Application in Traditional Courtyard Residences in Hot-Summer & Cold-Winter Regions: A Case Study of Xuzhou, China

Coral & Fish Health (PNAS):

Protection efforts have resulted in ~10% of existing fish biomass on coral reefs

Annual WMO Water Report:

State of Global Water Resources 2023 (download 80 pg)

Energy Supply Chains (ERSS Review):

The energy commons: A systematic review, paradoxes, & ways forward

China > Forecasting Water Resources (Nature):

Simulating runoff changes & evaluating under climate change using CMIP6 data & the optimal SWAT model: a case study

Tropical Rainforest Savannisation (Nature):

Faster dieback of rainforests altering tropical carbon sinks under climate change

Antarctic & Indian Ocean Circulation Dynamics (RMetS):

Teleconnection & the Antarctic response to the Indian Ocean Dipole in CMIP5 & CMIP6 models

Science & Activism (Nature Comment):

Challenging the neutrality myth in climate science & activism

Arctic Circulation Dynamics (Nature):

A moderator of tropical impacts on climate in Canadian Arctic Archipelago during boreal summer

Central & South America > Heatwaves (Nature):

Projected changes in heatwaves over Central & South America using high-resolution regional climate simulations

Arctic Solar Geoengineering Geopolitics (Coop. & Confl.):

Securing the ‘great white shield’? Climate change, Arctic security & the geopolitics of solar geoengineering

Past Island-Scale Chiefdom & Coastal Resilience (PNAS):

Links between climatic histories & the rise and fall of a Pacific chiefdom

Public Health Threats (BMJ):

The impact of increasing temperatures due to climate change on infectious diseases

New Book (U of British Columbia Press):

Nature-First Cities: Restoring Relationships with Ecosystems & with Each Other

New Book (Routledge):

Confronting Climate Coloniality: Decolonizing Pathways for Climate Justice

US > LNG Emissions (Energy Sci. Eng.):

The greenhouse gas footprint of liquefied natural gas (LNG) exported from the US

Kenya & Tanzania > Development Corridors (Enviro Research):

Towards more sustainable & inclusive development corridors in Africa

Antarctic Peninsula > Increasing Vegetation Cover (Nature):

Sustained greening of the Antarctic Peninsula observed from satellites

Antarctic Ice & Strong El Niño Events (Nature):

Projected Antarctic sea ice change contributes to increased occurrence of strong El Niño

India > Sea Level Rise Challenges (Environ Model Assess.):

Navigating the sea level rise: Exploring the interplay of climate change, sea level rise, & coastal communities in India

Florida > Urban Heat Exposure (PLOS):

Daytime land surface temperature & its limits as a proxy for surface air temperature in a subtropical, seasonally wet region

Kenya &Tanzania > Mara-Serengeti Ecosystems (PLOS):

Trends & cycles in rainfall, temperature, NDVI, IOD & SOI in the Mara-Serengeti: Insights for biodiversity conservation

Rwanda > Malaria Incidence (Nature):

Malaria transmission risk is projected to increase in the highlands of Western & Northern Rwanda

Global Economic Inequality (Nature):

A multi-model assessment of inequality & climate change

Johan Rockström Essay (TIME):

Planet Earth Is in Critical Condition. These are the Steps the World Must Take to Change That

Livestock Manure Emissions (Enviro Research):

Estimating methane emissions from manure: a suitable case for treatment?

Decreasing Arctic Midlatitude Cold Extremes (Science):

Models & observations agree on fewer & milder midlatitude cold extremes even over recent decades of rapid Arctic warming

Extreme Events & Partner Violence (PLOS):

The impact of environmental shocks due to climate change on intimate partner violence: A structural equation model of data from 156 countries

Changing Arctic Ecosystems (L&O Letters):

Multiple climatic drivers increase pace & consequences of ecosystem change in the Arctic Coastal Ocean

Fire Reducing Global Carbon Budget (Nature):

Fire weakens land carbon sinks before 1.5 °C

Global 30x30 Biodiversity Target (Frontiers):

Global status & emerging contribution of other effective area-based conservation measures (OECMs) towards the ‘30x30’ biodiversity Target 3

US West > Slowing Drought Recovery (Nature):

Anthropogenic climate change has reduced drought recovery probabilities across the western US

Antarctic Sea Ice Dynamics (Nature):

Antarctic sea ice surface temperature bias in atmospheric reanalyses induced by the combined effects of sea ice & clouds

New Book (Melville House):

The Future of Energy

Endangered Arctic Plant Evolutionary Rescue (Royal Society):

The potential for evolutionary rescue in an Arctic seashore plant threatened by climate change

New Book (Springer):

Disaster & Climate Risk Education: Insights from Knowledge to Action

US > Hurricane & Tropical Storm Fatalities (Nature):

Mortality caused by tropical cyclones in the US

Projecting Future Global Impacts (Frontiers):

Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world

Estimating CO2 Kept In Atmosphere (Nature):

A regression-based approach to the CO2 airborne fraction

Compound Extreme Events (ERL):

Comparison of the risks & drivers of compound hot-dry & hot-wet extremes in a warming world

Canada > Wildfires (Nature):

Global climate change below 2 °C avoids large end century increases in burned area in Canada

Costa Rica > Sloths At Risk (PeerJ):

Sloth metabolism may make survival untenable under climate change scenarios

Mitigation Via Wetlands (Nature):

New perspectives on temperate inland wetlands as natural climate solutions under different CO2-equivalent metrics

Worldwide Urban Solutions (Resilient Cities Network Report):

Urban Pulse: Identifying Resilience Solutions at the Intersection of Climate, Health & Equity (Download 76 Pg)

Risks To Alpine & Tibetan Plateau Tundra (RMetS):

High-resolution CMIP6 analysis highlights emerging climate challenges in alpine & Tibetan Tundra zones

Defining The Anthropocene's Onset (PNAS):

Toward defining the Anthropocene onset using a rapid increase in anthropogenic fingerprints in global geological archives

US > Extreme Temps & Racial Disparities (One Earth):

Racial disparities in deaths related to extreme temperatures in the US

Northern Cryosphere > Inland Water Emissions (Science):

Inland water greenhouse gas emissions offset the terrestrial carbon sink in the northern cryosphere

Worldwide Policy Databases (Nature Review):

A review of national climate policies via existing databases

2022 Tonga Volcanic Tsunami (Nature):

A coupled atmosphere-ocean source mechanism was a predictor of the 2022 Tonga volcanic tsunami

The Marine Carbon Sink (Nature):

Marine carbon sink dominated by biological pump after temperature overshoot